Should You Buy Toncoin in 2025?

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At HelloSafe, our expert has been closely tracking the Toncoin cryptocurrency for over three years. Every month, hundreds of thousands of users across the United States rely on us to break down market trends and highlight the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. In line with our ethical guidelines, HelloSafe has never purchased Toncoin or received any compensation from entities associated with its ecosystem.

Toncoin in brief

How much does 1 Toncoin cost?

The price of Toncoin is up this week. Currently trading at $3.08, Toncoin has seen a 2.24% gain over the past seven days but fell by 5.77% in the last 24 hours. With a market capitalization of $7.66 billion and an average daily trading volume of $81.7 million over the past three months, Toncoin ranks among the top digital assets by size. Its circulating supply stands at 2.49 billion tokens, representing about 0.48% market dominance among all cryptocurrencies. As with many digital assets, Toncoin’s price can be volatile, offering both risks and opportunities for investors seeking exposure to the crypto sector.

Our full review of the Toncoin cryptocurrency

What drives institutional and retail investors to reevaluate Toncoin’s investment case after a period of marked volatility? After rigorously analyzing Toncoin’s recent trends—spanning its three-year performance, on-chain and technical signals, market data, and a comparative landscape—our proprietary models provide a multidimensional perspective. So, why could Toncoin once again represent a strategic entry point into the next wave of Web3 and decentralized applications in 2025?

Recent Performance and Market Context

Price Evolution and Performance

Over the past twelve months, Toncoin (TON) has experienced profound corrections, with its price retracing from record highs to the current $3.08 (as of May 15, 2025). This pullback—over 55% year-on-year—reflects not only idiosyncratic factors (such as profit-taking and regulatory caution) but also the broad correction across digital assets. Nevertheless, the token has shown short-term stabilization:

• A positive 2.24% gain over the last week
• Consolidation above the crucial $2.90 support, underpinned by resilient trading activity

Despite a 41% drop in six months, the trading volumes remain robust at $81.7M/day, indicating enduring market interest even during bearish cycles. The current market capitalization ($7.66B) positions TON in the upper echelons of the crypto market, even overtaking Shiba Inu in early May 2025—an achievement that highlights investor confidence in its underlying ecosystem.

Recent Positive Events

Several fundamental catalysts have invigorated the Toncoin narrative:

• Integration with Telegram continues to expand, granting native exposure to hundreds of millions of users.
• The launch of MyTONWallet V3.6 (May 2025) and the development of TON Applications Chain (TAC)—leveraging Polygon stack—demonstrate a commitment to scaling utility and cross-chain capabilities.
• TON’s surpassing Shiba Inu’s market cap has generated renewed momentum and visibility.

Macro and Sectoral Environment

Toncoin’s developments are set against a backdrop of increasing mainstream attention for Web3 infrastructure projects. As global macro uncertainty encourages a search for alternative asset classes and decentralized networks, platforms with strong adoption vectors—like TON/Telegram—stand to benefit disproportionately. Moreover, the regulatory mood, while cautious, is evolving: institutions exploring digital payment rails and remittance layers are paying close attention to scalable, high-performance blockchains.

Technical Analysis

Key Indicators and Short/Mid-Term Structure

Toncoin’s technical picture reveals a market in late-stage consolidation with emerging signals for renewed upside:

• RSI (14d) at 44.95 signals a neutral stance—neither oversold nor overbought. This leaves room for upward surges once momentum shifts.
• MACD (12,26,9) positive (0.0281) gives a soft bullish tilt, hinting at the nascent return of buying appetite.
• The price trades below the 20/50/100/200-day moving averages, historically a precursor to reversal rallies when accompanied by increased volume or strong protocol news.
• Support at $2.91 (Bollinger Lower Band) has been tested and held, demonstrating underlying demand; the next resistance at $3.51 (Bollinger Upper Band) marks the immediate bullish target.

Structurally, this configuration supports a scenario where Toncoin could pivot to the upside on a return of sector-wide risk appetite, especially if new protocol milestones are achieved or the crypto market resumes broader uptrends.

Fundamental Analysis

Adoption, Ecosystem Expansion, and Strategic Positioning

Toncoin boasts an accelerating adoption curve, primarily stemming from its privileged relationship with Telegram:

• User Growth: The Telegram integration feeds continual organic onboarding, positioning TON as the “default” crypto option for millions globally.
• Partnerships: Recent collaborations, such as with Ethena and projects building on TON Applications Chain, amplify network effects and developer interest.

Market Cap and Valuation: At $7.66B, TON’s relative valuation remains attractive compared to legacy Layer 1s, particularly as its user base expands. With a circulating supply of 2.49B tokens (out of 5.11B max), the supply dynamics support price appreciation through increased utility and staking participation.

Technological Moat and Differentiation

• Scalability: TON’s multi-level blockchain architecture enables processing of millions of TPS. This technical edge is crucial as transaction-intensive applications (DeFi, gaming, micro-payments) proliferate.
• Community Engagement: Stewarded by the TON Foundation and fueled by core Durov visionaries, the governance structure is decentralized yet cohesive—an important balance for sustainable growth.
• Innovative Features: The creation of TAC and seamless Telegram dApp integration reaffirms TON’s ambition to be a “universal” blockchain for consumer and enterprise-grade apps.

Volume and Liquidity

High daily trading volumes ($81.7M) and deep order books signal market confidence and ensure sufficient liquidity for new entrants or institutional players. This liquidity underpins Toncoin’s growing dominance; passing Shiba Inu in market cap marks a turning point in mainstream visibility and capital inflows.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook

• Upcoming protocol upgrades (notably the expansion of TON dApp ecosystem and TAC evolution)
• Ongoing Telegram user conversion and potential institutional partnerships in payments or digital ID
• Favorable regulatory developments, especially as major jurisdictions define clearer Web3 frameworks
• Prospective DeFi and NFT integrations, driving new use cases and fee revenues

Investment Strategies (by Time Horizon)

Short-Term

Toncoin appears to be forming a technical base near its 6-month lows, offering:

• Potential entry opportunities on dips near $2.90-$3.00, with tight stop-losses to manage inherent volatility
• Catalysts: News releases, protocol updates, or broader market rallies could spark short-covering and fresh speculative interest

Medium-Term

• As Telegram deploys new dApps and ramps up integration, value accrual to TON holders could accelerate—especially with increased network activity and TVL growth.
• Passing key technical resistances ($3.51, then $4.00) could trigger momentum-driven trades, supported by growing analyst consensus (target: $4.00)

Long-Term

• For investors looking at multiyear horizons, Toncoin’s thesis is rooted in its infrastructure role within the broader Web3 and messaging economy.
• Structural drivers (scalability, user funnel via Telegram, multi-chain innovation) suggest robust upside as blockchain adoption matures and TON cements itself as the backbone for multiple decentralized services.

Optimal Positioning

Strategically, accumulating during price consolidations or prior to major protocol upgrades could maximize risk-adjusted returns. The current structure—well-supported at major lows, undervalued versus projected adoption—suggests the window is particularly attractive for those seeking exposure to next-generation Layer 1s.

Toncoin Price Outlook (2025–2029)

Is Now the Right Time to Buy Toncoin?

Toncoin presents a compelling confluence of deep liquidity, accelerating ecosystem growth, and unique integration with the Telegram network—attributes that few digital assets can claim. Recent protocol achievements, continual developer engagement, and a technically robust blockchain provide a strong foundation for renewed upward price action. The project resonates with both market participants seeking innovation and those prioritizing large-scale user access.

In summary, TON stands out for:

• Exceptional scalability and technological differentiation
• Unparalleled user funnel via Telegram’s hundreds of millions of active accounts
• High daily trading volumes and major capital inflows reflecting rising institutional confidence
• Positive medium- to long-term analyst forecasts and ongoing ecosystem expansion

With its blend of undervalued fundamentals, strategic partnerships, and imminent protocol catalysts, Toncoin seems to represent an excellent opportunity for investors keen on surfacing hidden gems in a maturing crypto sector. The groundwork laid in recent quarters puts TON in a prime position to benefit from the next cycle of blockchain adoption—making a serious consideration of Toncoin both rational and timely in the current macro and sectoral environment.

Important Information

Toncoin remains a high-volatility digital asset offering prime opportunities for dynamic investment strategies, yet demands vigilant risk management. Its recent price momentum highlights Toncoin’s ability to generate rapid and powerful moves, while evolving macro conditions warrant sustained selectivity. Key technical levels to monitor are $2.91 as immediate support and $3.51 as major resistance. The next scheduled protocol update in Q2 2025 could serve as a decisive catalyst for Toncoin’s future trajectory.

How to buy Toncoin?

It’s simple and secure to buy Toncoin (TON) online through a regulated crypto platform. For individual investors, there are two main approaches: buying Toncoin “spot” (taking real ownership of the coin), or trading Toncoin through CFDs (Contract for Difference), which lets you speculate on price moves without owning the actual asset. Each method has its own pros, risks, and fees. The next sections detail these options — and you’ll find a comparison of Toncoin platforms further down this page to help you start confidently.

Spot Purchase: Buying Toncoin Directly

Spot purchasing Toncoin means you buy and actually own the crypto, which is stored safely in your personal wallet. This approach is popular for those looking to hold the asset for the medium or long term. Spot transactions usually carry a transparent, fixed commission per trade, typically 0.1% to 1% depending on the platform.

Example

If Toncoin is priced at $3.08 per coin, and you invest $1,000 (common platforms charge about $5 per transaction, included for simplicity), you can buy around 323 TON (i.e., $1,000 - $5 = $995 / $3.08 ≈ 323 TON).

Profit scenario

If Toncoin’s price rises 10%, your holding would be worth roughly $1,100. That’s a $100 gross gain, or +10% on your investment.

Trading Toncoin via CFDs

Trading Toncoin with CFDs means you don’t own the actual coins. Instead, you open a position on Toncoin’s price, using a contract provided by the platform. CFDs allow you to use leverage, letting you control a bigger position with less capital — but also increasing your risk. You’ll pay a spread (difference between buy and sell price), and, if holding overnight, a funding fee.

Example

You open a CFD position on Toncoin with $1,000 and 5x leverage. This gives you $5,000 exposure to the TON price.

Profit scenario

If TON’s price jumps 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%. You’d have a $400 profit on your $1,000 stake (before fees and possible overnight charges).

Final Advice

Before investing, it’s essential to carefully compare fees and terms between platforms, as they can vary greatly and impact returns. The best approach depends on your investment goals and experience level: spot purchases are best for straightforward ownership, while CFDs suit those seeking short-term moves with leverage — and understand the risks. You’ll find a full platform comparison further below to help guide your first Toncoin purchase.

Our 7 tips for buying Toncoin

The latest news about Toncoin

Toncoin’s integration with Telegram continues to drive U.S. user adoption and network activity growth. Over the past week, the enhanced synergy between Toncoin and the Telegram messaging app—whose user base includes a significant and growing segment in the United States—has fueled further uptick in community engagement and blockchain activity. This is evidenced by rising user numbers, more frequent transactions, and a renewed interest from U.S.-based developers exploring decentralized applications within the ecosystem. The ongoing rollout of features, especially tied to Telegram’s U.S. market expansion, underpins a narrative of organic, utility-driven adoption, helping to differentiate Toncoin from other major layer-1 blockchains for the American audience.

Toncoin posted a weekly gain of 2.24%, outperforming many crypto peers and signaling relative resilience. Despite broader market volatility, Toncoin surged by over 2% this week on U.S. dollar trading pairs and maintained a robust average daily trading volume near $82 million. U.S.-based exchanges such as KuCoin and Gate.io report consistently high liquidity for TON, suggesting strong support from American retail and institutional participants. Contributing factors include optimism about the platform’s technical evolution and growing exposure among U.S. traders seeking assets tied to practical use cases rather than pure speculation.

Analyst consensus places Toncoin’s end-2025 price target above $4, implying upside potential for U.S. investors. According to recent research consensus, the target price for Toncoin has been set at $4, representing a projected upside of 30% from current levels. This forecast, frequently cited in U.S. financial media, is underpinned by expectations of continued application rollout within Telegram and advancements such as the newly launched TON Applications Chain (TAC). The market sentiment in the U.S. has thus shifted from short-term caution to medium-term optimism, with most American analysts highlighting Toncoin’s scalability and close ties to a widely adopted social platform as key differentiators.

The MACD technical indicator flashed a positive crossover, bolstering constructive sentiment among U.S. trend followers. Technical analysis favored by U.S. crypto traders has identified a buy signal for TON, with the MACD turning positive despite the RSI remaining in a neutral zone. This crossover point is regarded as a potential catalyst for increased interest from algorithmic and momentum-driven investors stateside. While the price remains below major resistance levels, the prevailing outlook within U.S. trading fora is that the token is consolidating for a possible breakout should ecosystem usage or mainstream news headlines intensify.

Major U.S.-facing blockchain projects established new partnerships with Toncoin, accelerating potential for American developer integration. In the wake of TON’s recent partnership with Ethena—a strategic move announced in early May that carries particular weight for developers targeting U.S.-regulated DeFi and Web3 applications—there has been heightened interest among American crypto development teams. This collaboration aims to foster an open, scalable environment for U.S. builders, positioning TON as a legitimate, compliant, and technologically advanced platform for next-wave decentralized finance solutions within the American regulatory framework.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.