Should I buy Mondelez stock in 2025?

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At HelloSafe, our expert has been monitoring the performance of Mondelez for over three years. Every month, hundreds of thousands of users in the United States rely on us to interpret market trends and highlight the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. In line with our ethical charter, we have never been, and will never be, compensated by Mondelez.

What is Mondelez?

How much is Mondelez stock?

The price of Mondelez stock is rising this week. As of today, Mondelez (MDLZ) trades at $67.87, with a 24-hour change of -0.38% and a strong weekly gain of 3.59%. The company holds a market capitalization of $87.88 billion and sees an average daily trading volume of 10.57 million shares over the past three months. Mondelez features a Price/Earnings ratio of 25.23, a dividend yield of 2.77%, and a beta of 0.48, indicating lower-than-market volatility. This consistent performance and moderate volatility may appeal to investors seeking stable, long-term opportunities in the consumer defensive sector.

Our full analysis on Mondelez stock

We have thoroughly reviewed Mondelez International’s (NASDAQ: MDLZ) latest financial results alongside a rigorous analysis of its stock performance over the past three years. By integrating key financial indicators, technical signals, sector metrics, and competitor benchmarking—leveraged through our proprietary analytics platform—clear, data-driven themes have emerged. So, why might Mondelez stock once again become a strategic entry point into the global consumer defensive sector in 2025?

Recent Performance and Market Context

After a turbulent twelve months shaped by raw material cost inflation and geopolitical uncertainty, Mondelez’s share price has demonstrated notable resilience. As of May 2, 2025, MDLZ trades at $67.87, posting a modest 1-week gain of 3.59%, and trading above all major moving averages—a technical affirmation of market support. While the 1-year return sits at -3.99%, this underperformance directly reflects short-term cost pressures, not weakness in the company’s core business.

From a macro perspective, enduring consumer demand for affordable snacking worldwide remains robust. Despite headwinds from unprecedented cocoa price inflation, Mondelez’s defensive business model and global scale have shielded its top line: Q1 2025 revenue grew to $9.31 billion, barely missing a beat with a 0.2% year-over-year increase and 3.1% organic growth. Further, the company’s dynamic, innovation-led snacking strategy positions it favorably against less diversified or growth-constrained competitors.

Strong positive events include the full resumption of manufacturing in Ukraine in Q2 2024 and the ongoing ambitious implementation of a new enterprise resource planning (ERP) system—initiatives which support operational efficiency and market confidence. The sector’s focus on pricing power, evolving consumer habits, and the sustained shift toward convenience products continue to favor industry leaders like Mondelez.

Technical Analysis

Technical signals on MDLZ are decisively bullish, suggesting renewed upward momentum.

• Relative Strength Index (RSI 14): 57.80—an ideal, neutral reading, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions and providing headroom for further upside.
• MACD (12,26,9): 0.36—flashing a buy signal, confirming positive price momentum in the near term.
• Moving Averages: The current share price trades above the 20-, 50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages. This persistent bullish structure highlights a medium-term uptrend historically associated with subsequent appreciation.
• Key Support Levels: $64.72, $63.79, and $63.30—all recently tested and respected, reinforcing downside protection.
• Key Resistance Levels: $66.15, $66.64, and $67.57—have been met and are in the process of being consolidated, allowing the stock to potentially establish a new higher trading range.

Market sentiment is further validated by a strong technical consensus: 17 bullish indicators versus just 5 neutral and 0 bearish on aggregate. In short, MDLZ is exhibiting the classic signs of a security transitioning from consolidation to renewed upward movement, pointing to an attractive setup for tactical as well as medium-term investors.

Fundamental Analysis

Beneath the surface, Mondelez’s fundamentals reveal underlying strengths that extend well beyond 2025.

• Revenue Growth: Despite peak cost pressures, the company delivered Q1 2025 revenues of $9.31 billion (+0.2% YoY), with 3.1% organic net top-line expansion. 2025 guidance anticipates organic net revenue growth of approximately 5%—significantly above the sector average, underscoring Mondelez’s pricing power and category leadership.
• Profitability: Adjusted operating income and EPS were temporarily affected (down ~20% YoY) by extraordinary cocoa inflation. However, the underlying business remains robust, and management guided that these transitory headwinds will recede—a scenario supported by analysts who continue to see normalized margin recovery as commodity costs stabilize.
• Valuation: At a trailing P/E of 25.23, MDLZ is attractively valued, particularly given the company’s superior revenue growth prospects, best-in-class brand strength, and market resilience. With a dividend yield of 2.77% (well-covered by free cash flow projected north of $3 billion in 2025) and a price target 30% above today’s levels ($88.23), risk/reward appears favorably tilted for new entrants and current holders alike.
• Structural Strengths:
• Mondelez commands the #1 global position in biscuits and #2 in chocolate, with a diversified presence spanning over 150 countries.
• Its portfolio—anchored by Oreo, Ritz, Cadbury, and Milka—confers sector-leading brand equity and pricing agility.
• Investments in R&D, digital transformation, and supply chain modernization (e.g., ERP rollout) continue to underpin long-term efficiency and adaptability.

This blend of scale, innovation, and operational discipline justifies renewed investor interest—particularly as cost normalization and new product launches are expected to drive profitability improvement.

Volume and Liquidity

Mondelez’s average daily trading volume exceeds 10.5 million shares, reflecting deep liquidity and consistent market confidence in the underlying business. Such robust trading activity tends to attract both institutional and sophisticated retail investors, providing price stability and efficient entry/exit points.

Institutional ownership remains elevated, implying continued endorsement by major market participants. Furthermore, with 1.29 billion shares outstanding and a market cap near $88 billion, Mondelez’s float is sufficiently large to absorb inflows without introducing disruptive volatility—a key characteristic for growth stocks within the consumer defensive sector.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook

Several forward-looking factors support Mondelez’s transition toward its next phase of growth:

• Strategic Product Mix and Pricing: The company’s “chocolate pricing strategy” is driving top-line expansion, with the ability to protect and enhance margins as cocoa prices eventually normalize.
• Resumed Production: Full restoration of Ukrainian manufacturing not only boosts volumes but also symbolizes Mondelez’s capability to operate effectively in high-risk territories.
• Digital and Supply Chain Modernization: The ongoing ERP rollout through 2028 will unlock significant operational efficiencies and data-driven decision-making, further improving scalability.
• Brand and Innovation Leadership: Ongoing investment in R&D and new product launches keep Mondelez at the forefront of evolving consumer snacking habits.
• Sustainability and ESG: With rising consumer and investor focus on sustainability, Mondelez’s efforts in responsible sourcing (including cocoa), environmental targets, and social impact are increasingly recognized, enhancing the brand’s intangible value.
• Long-Term Guidance: Management’s reaffirmed commitment to 5% annual organic net revenue growth and over $3 billion in annual free cash flow provides clear visibility and underpins the company’s ability to invest, reward shareholders, and weather near-term shocks.

These final points reinforce the case that, far from being a mere defensive play, MDLZ is positioned to capitalize on secular growth in global snacking, geographic expansion, and sustained premiumization.

Investment Strategies

Given the convergence of attractive technicals, robust fundamentals, and imminent catalysts, several strategies come into focus for prospective buyers:

• Short Term (<6 months): For nimble investors, MDLZ currently sits atop major support levels ($64.72–$66.15) with bullish momentum and a consensus “strong buy” technical rating. Breakouts above $67.57 resistance could enable a quick move toward new 52-week highs, especially as cost overhangs diminish.
• Medium Term (6–18 months): With the ERP transformation underway and cocoa prices expected to ease within this window, the backdrop is favorable for margin recovery and a rerating toward the consensus price target ($88.23). Medium-horizon buyers may benefit both from capital appreciation and a dependable 2.77% dividend yield, with the company’s upcoming product cycles offering further upside optionality.
• Long Term (18+ months): For patient investors, Mondelez’s global leadership, continued innovation, and resilient cash generation power robust compounding potential. The company's consistent positioning as a category leader in snacking—paired with secular trends in emerging markets—suggests a sustained multi-year growth trajectory.

Positioning ahead of stabilization in cocoa markets or strong quarterly earnings could provide ideal entry points for both value- and growth-minded portfolios.

Is it the Right Time to Buy Mondelez?

In summary, Mondelez International currently embodies a rare convergence of technical strength, defensive sector stability, and credible long-term growth catalysts. Its global leadership in biscuits and chocolate, premium brand portfolio, and substantial free cash flow outlook are hard to match in the consumer goods landscape. While short-term profitability has been impacted by extraordinary cocoa inflation, both technical and fundamental evidence point to stabilization and a return to earnings growth within the next several quarters.

The fundamentals justify renewed interest, and ongoing innovations, paired with operational enhancements, suggest the stock may be entering a new bullish phase. For investors seeking resilient, high-quality exposure to global snacking trends—and the prospect of strong returns as cost pressures abate—Mondelez International seems to represent an excellent opportunity well worth serious consideration.

Reflecting on the convergence of favorable momentum, sector leadership, and evolving catalysts, Mondelez stands as a conviction opportunity for those looking to capitalize on the next leg of growth in the consumer defensive sector.

How to buy Mondelez stock in United States?

Buying Mondelez International (MDLZ) stock online is both simple and secure when you use a regulated broker in the United States. Whether you’re interested in buying actual shares (spot buying) for long-term growth or trading Contracts for Difference (CFDs) for short-term opportunities, the process is fully digital and protected by financial regulations. Spot buying lets you own the shares outright, while CFD trading enables you to speculate on price movements with leverage. To find the right platform, you’ll want to check our broker comparison further down the page, so you can choose the service that best fits your needs.

Spot Buying

When you buy Mondelez stock with cash (also called spot buying), you become a direct shareholder and benefit from any price appreciation and dividend payments. Your shares are safely held in your brokerage account. U.S. brokers typically charge a fixed commission per order—often between $0 and $10, depending on the platform.

Example

If Mondelez shares are trading at $67.87 and you invest $1,000, you can buy about 14 shares ($1,000 ÷ $67.87 ≈ 14.7; including a typical brokerage fee of about $5, you’ll purchase roughly 14 shares).

Gain scenario: If the share price rises by 10%, your 14 shares are now worth about $1,100.

Result: That’s a $100 gross gain—a +10% return on your investment (before taxes and fees).

Trading via CFD

CFD trading lets you speculate on the rise or fall of Mondelez’s share price without owning the actual stock. Instead, you open a contract that mirrors the performance of MDLZ. U.S. brokers that offer CFDs typically charge fees via the spread (the difference between buy/sell price) and may also apply overnight financing fees if you hold positions open across multiple days. CFD trading allows for leverage, increasing your market exposure with a smaller initial outlay.

Example

You open a CFD position on Mondelez with $1,000 and use 5x leverage, giving you exposure to $5,000 worth of stock.

Gain scenario: If Mondelez stock rises by 8%, your leveraged position gains 8% × 5 = 40%.

Result: That’s a $400 gain on your $1,000 stake (excluding fees and interest).

Final Advice

Before you invest in Mondelez stock, take time to compare the fees and features of different brokers—costs and conditions can vary significantly from one platform to another. Your choice should depend on your investment objectives: spot buying is generally best for building long-term wealth and earning dividends, while CFD trading suits those seeking short-term opportunities with higher risk and potential reward. To help you make an informed decision, be sure to consult our detailed broker comparison further down the page.

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Our 7 tips for buying Mondelez stock

The latest news about Mondelez

Mondelez shares rose 3.59% this week, outperforming the broader consumer staples sector. This positive price momentum comes in the wake of the company’s Q1 2025 earnings report, which showed resilience despite intense input cost pressures, particularly from record cocoa inflation. Investors’ renewed confidence was further reflected in the stock maintaining a position above key moving averages (20, 50, 100, and 200 days), all confirming a broadly bullish technical outlook reinforced by a consensus “Strong Buy” rating from technical models.

Mondelez’s Q1 2025 results confirmed revenue growth in the United States, with organic net revenue up 3.1% year-over-year. Despite a reported dip in adjusted operating income and EPS (down 19.6% and 20.4% respectively due to cocoa costs), U.S. operations demonstrated stability and continued momentum. The solid revenue base in its home market, the United States, remains crucial for Mondelez, underscoring the company’s ability to navigate volatile global commodity environments and leverage strong consumer demand for its flagship brands such as Oreo and Ritz.

The company affirmed its 2025 U.S. guidance, targeting approximately 5% organic net revenue growth and free cash flow exceeding $3 billion. This guidance, reiterated on April 29, 2025, signals management’s confidence in ongoing demand and successful chocolate pricing strategies within the United States. While adjusted EPS is expected to be temporarily impacted by historically high cocoa costs (declining about 10%), the robust cash generation outlook and disciplined cost management instill optimism for sustained shareholder returns, including a stable dividend yield of 2.77% for U.S. investors.

Mondelez’s U.S. market fundamentals remain strong, supported by iconic brands and leading market positions. The company maintains the number-one spot globally in biscuits and the number-two position in chocolate, aggressively expanding its snacking portfolio to cater to evolving consumer preferences in the United States. Recent innovations and brand strength continue to support pricing power, helping offset cost headwinds and reinforcing Mondelez’s competitive advantage within the North American snacking sector.

Market sentiment among U.S. financial analysts remains cautiously optimistic, underpinned by the company’s structural strengths and long-term strategy. Analyst consensus, as of this week, holds a positive outlook on Mondelez, acknowledging short-term challenges from commodity inflation while highlighting the company’s proactive management, strategic pricing initiatives, and resilience in core markets. The stock’s low beta (0.48) and strong institutional ownership make it an attractive defensive holding for U.S. investors seeking quality exposure amid market uncertainty.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.