Should You Buy Avalanche in 2025?

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At HelloSafe, our expert has been monitoring the evolution of the Avalanche cryptocurrency for over three years. Every month, hundreds of thousands of users across the United States rely on us to analyze market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. In line with our ethical charter, HelloSafe has never purchased Avalanche nor received any compensation from entities associated with its ecosystem.

Avalanche in brief

How much does 1 Avalanche cost?

The price of Avalanche is up this week. As of now, AVAX is trading at $20.94 USD, marking a 2.7% rise over the last 24 hours, though it’s down 9.3% for the week. With a market capitalization of $8.83 billion and an average daily trading volume of around $316 million over the past three months, Avalanche is currently ranked among the top 15 cryptocurrencies globally. There are 421.58 million AVAX in circulation, representing 0.5% of the total crypto market by value. While recent fluctuations highlight the coin’s volatility, ongoing institutional partnerships and technological innovation keep AVAX on investors’ watchlists for growth potential.

Our complete review of the cryptocurrency Avalanche

After a deep-dive into the most recent Avalanche (AVAX) trends and price action over the past three years, our analysis integrates multi-source data—combining on-chain signals, advanced technical indicators, market sentiment, and a rigorous review of the platform’s evolving competitive landscape—processed via proprietary quantitative models. The synthesis reveals distinct developments in adoption, institutional engagement, and blockchain innovation that shape current and future valuation. So, why could Avalanche once again emerge in 2025 as a strategic entry point in the Layer 1 smart contract ecosystem?

Performance Snapshot and Market Context

Recent Price Evolution

• Current price (June 2025): $20.94 USD, with a recent daily range of $20.79–$21.61.
• Despite a one-year drawdown of over 41%, AVAX remains well above its December 2020 lows ($2.79), with price action consolidating above a robust multi-month support zone.
• The all-time high ($146.22, November 2021) highlights long-term upside potential as the asset currently trades at less than 15% of peak capitalization.

Positive Recent Events and Macroeconomic Context

Several factors boost the structural outlook:

• BlackRock’s integration of the BUIDL fund and institutional focus on AVAX via VanEck signal a maturing investment thesis for the asset, marked by the ETF filing with the SEC—potentially transformative for mainstream capital flows.
• FIFA’s partnership and the Fusion Initiative ($100M vertical-specific blockchain networks) illustrate Avalanche’s unique positioning in global sports and sector-driven blockchain adoption.
• Gaming integrations (MapleStory Universe) and real-world asset tokenization ($240B Bergen County pilot) contribute additional, non-speculative use-cases.
• Macro-wise, a broad crypto market recovery—with Bitcoin and Ethereum stabilizing—supports Layer 1 narratives, especially those offering technical improvements and diverse utility like Avalanche.

Technical Analysis

Key Technical Indicators

• RSI (43.68): Sits in neutral territory—reflecting a market devoid of overbought/sold extremes and indicating scope for a directional move.
• MACD (-0.28): Still negative, but flattening and converging, suggesting fading bearish momentum.
• Moving Averages: Price is below the 20-day MA (short-term resistance), and testing the 50-day. The 200-day EMA ($22.52) defines the pivot for a longer-term bullish crossover.

Support, Resistance, and Structure

• Strong supports: $20.79 and the psychological $19 level; both have prompted renewed buying interest in past drawdowns.
• Key resistances: $21.61 (short-term), and more decisively $24.57—breaking above this would confirm the onset of a significant bullish phase.
• Recent signal: A buy signal from a technical bottom (May 30, 2025) has delivered a +5.84% rebound, suggesting the exhaustion of selling pressure and renewed bullish momentum.

Short- to Medium-Term Outlook

• Expect potential volatility-driven retests of the $20–$21 zone, yet the risk/reward profile appears increasingly asymmetric to the upside given fundamental and technical dynamics.
• The technical setup, alongside macro and ecosystem catalysts, supports the thesis that a confirmed breakout above resistance could trigger a more sustained rally into Q3–Q4 2025.

Fundamental Analysis

Adoption, Ecosystem, and Partnerships

Avalanche stands out for its sustainable, multi-pronged growth:

• Total Value Locked (TVL): $1.63B, up 14.4% YoY, demonstrates strong DeFi traction.
• Daily transactions: A record 10.8M—evidence of robust and growing usage.
• Active users: Nearly 2M, up sharply on the back of gaming and real-world asset integrations.
• Institutional embrace: BlackRock and VanEck’s confidence, combined with ongoing ETF pursuits, legitimize AVAX’s investment case.
• Major partner engagements: FIFA for sports innovation, and SMBC for Asia-Pacific financial applications, further diversify future cash flows and user bases.
• DeFi and NFTs: Rapid expansion in subnets, decentralized applications, and asset tokenization reinforces Avalanche’s position beyond legacy Layer 1s.

Valuation Metrics

• Market Cap: $8.83B—attractive for a top 15 Layer 1 with multi-billion-dollar network effects, yet still discounted versus historic highs and select peers.
• FDV vs Circulating Cap: Under 60% of max supply in circulation, providing additional room for sustainable diluted value.
• TVL/Market Cap ratio: Above industry average—suggests current valuation reasonably reflects real blockchain utility.

Structural Advantages

• Subnet technology enables custom, application-specific blockchains, fueling enterprise and sectoral adoption.
• Three-chain architecture (X-Chain, C-Chain, P-Chain) and EVM compatibility further drive developer migration and dApp ecosystem growth.
• Proof-of-Stake consensus with attractive (~11.6%) staking rewards stimulates network security and long-term participation.
• Transaction performance: Sub-second finality and high throughput (6,500+ TPS) address legacy crypto scalability issues.

Liquidity and Market Positioning

• Daily trading volume: Over $310M ensures high liquidity and smooth execution, minimizing slippage even for institutional allocations.
• Dominance: Remains a top 10 DeFi chain by TVL and a consistent fixture in major exchange rankings.
• Investor base: Highly diversified, from retail to sophisticated institutions, supported by US and global access.

Catalysts and Growth Perspectives

• VanEck’s PurposeBuilt Fund and a pending AVAX ETF could unlock substantial new inflows.
• Fusion Initiative and Bergen County RWA expansion set the stage for mass adoption of tokenized real-world assets.
• MapleStory, Filecoin cross-chain bridge, and other subnet-based initiatives amplify developer and user interest.
• Bullish community sentiment (96% positive) and active governance ensure responsive adaptation to market needs.
• Prospective regulatory clarity around spot ETFs forms a potential inflection point for broader mainstream adoption.

Investment Strategies (by Horizon)

Short-Term

• Reversal opportunities in the $20–$21 area, where supports have repeatedly proven robust.
• Breakout trading: Entry upon confirmation of $21.61 resistance flip and/or advance above the 200-day EMA ($22.52).
• Catalyst watch: Anticipate spikes surrounding news of ETF progress, protocol upgrades, or major partnership launches.

Medium-Term

• Positioning ahead of protocol milestones (e.g., Fusion launches, gaming release cycles) aims to capture upside from user and TVL surges.
• Accumulation on dips likely to be rewarded if on-chain data continues strengthening amidst macro-friendly conditions.
• Monitor TVL/volumes: Sustained increases will likely attract follow-on flows from asset managers and crypto-native funds.

Long-Term

• Structural innovation, subnets, and institutional trust build a platform for compounding network growth.
• The potential for positive US regulatory outcomes (notably ETF approvals) could be game-changing for multi-year appreciation.
• Staking: Lock-in yield in an expanding ecosystem, compounding rewards while mitigating short-term volatility.

AVAX Price Forecast: 2025–2029

Is Now the Right Time to Consider Avalanche?

Avalanche’s multi-year evolution continues to validate the platform’s founding thesis: scalable Layer 1 architecture, rapid iteration, and institutional-grade partnerships. The recent pickup in daily network usage, cross-sector integrations (from gaming to tokenized real-world assets), and substantial backing from names like BlackRock and VanEck constitute formidable signals of network health and growth prospects.

With a still-attractive valuation versus its peak and major peers, high liquidity, and a pipeline of catalytic events—including prospective ETF listings and rapidly expanding DeFi/NFT footprints—Avalanche seems poised to enter a new bullish cycle should key technical levels fall. The combination of robust staking incentives, a vibrant ecosystem, and global institutional validation reinforces the case for renewed investor interest.

In summary, Avalanche’s fundamentals justify close attention, and the confluence of technical, structural, and macro catalysts suggests that 2025 could mark the beginning of a new upward phase for the AVAX ecosystem. As always, dynamic risk management remains essential given crypto volatility, but the current risk/reward profile for Avalanche may indeed represent an excellent opportunity for forward-looking investors.

How to buy Avalanche?

It’s simple and secure to buy Avalanche (AVAX) online through a regulated platform. Investors in the US can choose between two main methods: direct spot purchase (where you own real AVAX tokens) or trading Avalanche contracts for difference (CFDs), which speculate on the token’s price without possessing it. Both options are accessible and offer their own benefits and risks—direct ownership for long-term holding, or active trading via CFDs for more flexibility and leverage. We detail the pros and cons of leading US platforms in our comparison chart further down this page.

Spot Purchase (Direct Ownership)

When you buy Avalanche at the spot price, you acquire real AVAX coins that are stored in your wallet on the exchange or transferred to your personal crypto wallet. This means you fully own the asset and can hold, transfer, or stake it as you wish. Most US exchanges charge a fixed commission per transaction, typically from 0.5% to 1.5%, with a minimum fee in USD.

Example

If AVAX trades at $20.94 and you invest $1,000, you can buy approximately 47.76 AVAX (after subtracting a $5 transaction fee).
- Calculation: $1,000 – $5 fee = $995 → $995 / $20.94 ≈ 47.52 AVAX

Gain scenario

If AVAX rises by 10%, the value of your coins becomes $1,100.
Result: $100 profit (+10% return).

Trading Avalanche via CFD

Trading Avalanche through CFDs means speculating on AVAX’s price movements without actually owning the underlying asset. You can go long (betting on a price increase) or short (betting on a drop). CFDs typically involve a spread (the difference between buy/sell price) and overnight financing fees if you hold leveraged positions beyond a single trading day.

Example

You open a CFD position on AVAX with $1,000 and 5× leverage, giving you $5,000 market exposure.
- If AVAX increases by 8%, your position grows by 8% × 5 = 40%, netting you a $400 gain (excluding fees).

Gain scenario

$1,000 initial margin × 40% = $400 profit (minus spreads and possible overnight costs).

Final Advice

Always compare the fees, security, and terms of different platforms before investing in Avalanche or any crypto asset. The right method—spot purchase or CFD—depends on your investment goals, risk tolerance, and experience. For an in-depth comparison tailored to US-based investors, consult our latest platform guide just below.

Our 7 tips for buying Avalanche

The latest news about the Avalanche

BlackRock’s BUIDL fund launched on Avalanche via Securitize marks a milestone for institutional DeFi adoption in the US. This move brings BlackRock’s $100M on-chain fund infrastructure directly onto the Avalanche blockchain, leveraging Avalanche’s subnet technology and high-throughput capacities. The integration provides American institutional investors with more compliant, transparent, and efficient access to real-world assets such as treasury bills and money market funds, and validates Avalanche’s unique approach to tokenizing traditional financial products within US regulatory frameworks.

VanEck’s recent spot AVAX ETF filing with the SEC strengthens Avalanche’s profile as a top candidate for mainstream crypto investment products in the US. Alongside the imminent launch of VanEck’s PurposeBuilt Fund, focused on Avalanche’s ecosystem, these developments highlight growing appetite from regulated US asset managers for AVAX exposure. An SEC-approved AVAX ETF would dramatically improve AVAX’s reach to US retail and institutional capital, while providing legitimizing momentum in a competitive Layer 1 blockchain context.

Avalanche ecosystem metrics hit all-time highs, with active US user growth and a 14.4% TVL increase signaling sustained on-chain engagement. The network recently processed a record 10.8 million daily transactions and reached nearly 2 million active users, firmly establishing the United States as a leading region for Avalanche’s adoption. The total value locked (TVL) in Avalanche’s DeFi and tokenized real-world assets, now at $1.63 billion, points to deepening investor confidence and robust demand for novel asset classes facilitated by Avalanche in the US market.

The $240B Bergen County real estate tokenization project on Avalanche has positioned the US as a global pioneer in digital property rights using blockchain. By enabling property deed records and transfers on-chain for one of the wealthiest counties in the country, this initiative demonstrates practical and large-scale government adoption of Avalanche by US public entities. It opens the door to enhanced transparency, transfer efficiency, and liquidity in American real estate markets, which could trigger further institutional and regulatory support for broader blockchain adoption.

Market sentiment on AVAX is strongly bullish in the US, reinforced by technical buy signals and high-profile partnerships announced over the past week. Recent technical analysis shows a buy signal from a pivot bottom and ongoing resistance testing, while community optimism has reached 96%. The alignment of major institutional expansion, government adoption, and significant user growth supports a positive outlook for Avalanche’s continued scaling and integration into the core US blockchain and financial landscape.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.