Should You Buy Axie Infinity in 2025?

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At HelloSafe, our expert has been tracking the evolution of Axie Infinity cryptocurrency for over three years. Each month, over one million users across the United States rely on us to analyze market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. In line with our ethical guidelines, HelloSafe has never purchased Axie Infinity nor received compensation from any entities associated with its ecosystem.

Axie Infinity in brief

How much does 1 Axie Infinity cost?

The price of Axie Infinity is down this week. As of today, AXS is trading between $2.50 and $2.58, with a 24-hour decline ranging from -4.3% to -8.2% and a weekly drop of about 9% to 11.1%. The market capitalization stands at approximately $401–424 million, ranking Axie Infinity around 90th among all cryptocurrencies, with a circulating supply of about 161–166 million AXS tokens. The average daily trading volume over the past three months is $27–32 million, representing less than 0.03% of the total crypto market. This notable volatility underscores the importance of closely monitoring trends and taking a careful approach when evaluating potential opportunities in AXS.

Our comprehensive review of the cryptocurrency Axie Infinity

Have the latest trends around Axie Infinity, including its volatile price trajectory, ecosystem evolution and on-chain activity, started revealing subtle signs of a fresh bullish cycle? Leveraging proprietary algorithms that synthesize on-chain metrics, technical signals, macro market data, and fast-evolving sector dynamics, we conducted a comprehensive multi-factor analysis of Axie Infinity’s (AXS) trajectory over the last three years. So, what are the factors that could position Axie Infinity as a strategic entry point for next-generation blockchain gaming exposure in 2025?

Recent Performance and Market Context

Price Evolution

After peaking near $10.35 in December 2024, Axie Infinity (AXS) entered a deep correction phase, retracing to its current level of $2.50–$2.58. This sequence mirrors the broader crypto market’s volatility but remains particularly pronounced for play-to-earn tokens. Over the last 12 months, AXS saw a significant drawdown, emblematic of the sector’s shift from frenzied speculation to a focus on sustainable business models and real user adoption.

Short-term, AXS has registered a week-on-week decline (-9% to -11.1%), underperforming the aggregated GameFi sector indices. Nevertheless, daily trading volume remains robust ($27–32 million/24h), signaling persistent liquidity and a base of active buyers at current levels. This compression phase follows a sharp 44% rally off a major technical bottom, revealing ongoing interest from both swing traders and long-term investors.

Recent Positive Events

• Major protocol update (Q2 2025): Major improvements to scalability and in-game economy design, aiming to boost user retention.
• Healthy treasury growth: Sky Mavis reported a $4M increase in game-related cash reserves in 2024, supporting future ecosystem development.
• Confirmed new game releases: The Axie franchise is expanding, staking a leadership claim in the evolving play-and-earn NFT sector.
• Cost optimization: A 21% workforce reduction was executed, reinforcing financial resilience and operational efficiency.

Macro and Sector Backdrop

The GameFi and NFT gaming segments are entering a new growth phase in 2025, driven by record institutional investments and renewed consumer interest. The accelerated development of the Ronin sidechain (Axie’s core infrastructure) and broader acceptance of Web3 gaming mechanics are providing fundamental tailwinds, making sector leaders like AXS a focal point as sentiment shifts from risk aversion to gradual re-risking.

Technical Analysis

Relevant On-Chain & Price Indicators

• RSI: Currently oscillating 30–46, AXS is near the classical oversold threshold; a reading below 35 often marks a mid-term accumulation zone.
• MACD: Recent crossovers indicate diminishing bearish momentum, while histogram contraction signals potential for price reversals.
• Moving Averages: The 21-day EMA (~$2.26) demonstrates underlying support, while the 50-day SMA is flattening—a precursor to mean reversion in strong sentiment swings.

Key Technical Levels

• Primary support: Firmly established at $2.20, with an additional “capitulation floor” at $2.10 (April 2025 lows).
• First resistance: $3.45 remains the near-term upside target, a break above which would confirm trend reversal.
• VWAP: $5.00 serves as high-conviction resistance and a possible magnet if a breakout materializes.
• Chart structure: Exit from a falling wedge pattern generated a notable 44% rally; consolidation within a descending channel now looks mature, with bullish divergences visible on the daily chart.
• Momentum: Volume upswings on positive candles and constructive orderbook flows, especially around the $2.20 pivot, are indicative of renewed accumulation by sophisticated players.

Near and Medium Term Outlook

The alignment of oversold readings, recapturing of key support, and an improving macro crypto environment create a probabilistic case for a bullish pivot into Q3–Q4 2025. Should AXS reclaim $3.45 with significant volume, momentum-driven upside could accelerate toward the VWAP zone, especially if additional protocol news acts as a catalyst.

Fundamental Analysis

Growing Adoption & Strategic Partnerships

• Active User Base: Axie Infinity maintains one of the most globally engaged player communities in blockchain gaming, with the Ronin sidechain regularly clocking among the industry’s highest weekly active user counts.
• Expansion Pipeline: New Axie-themed games and gameplay modes are under development, offering vertical growth beyond the original franchise.
• Ecosystem Integration: AXS sits at the center of the Ronin network, allowing seamless utility as a governance, rewards, and transactional asset both within and beyond the core game.
• Key Partnerships: Backers include Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) and Animoca Brands—an institutional vote of confidence for long-term potential.
• NFT Market Leadership: Axie remains a pioneer in NFT-powered gaming economies, with a robust record of NFT volume and innovation.

Attractive Relative Valuation

• Market Cap: At only $401–424 million, AXS is well below its former highs, suggesting improved value relative to its ecosystem size and brand recognition.
• Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV): The gap between FDV and circulating market cap has significantly narrowed, reducing immediate dilution risk.
• Revenue Model Resilience: AXS captures marketplace value with a 4.25% transaction fee architecture, enabling recurring inflows regardless of macro cycles.
• Treasury & Cash Flow: Sky Mavis added $4M in reserves in 2024, translating to $330,000/mo, a notable buffer for ongoing development despite recent cost realignment.
• Token Distribution: Current circulating supply of 161–166M AXS out of a max 270M, with major unlocks now largely behind, limiting token inflationary overhang.

Structural Advantages

• Pioneering Status: First-mover in play-to-earn and NFT gameplay, supporting lasting network effects.
• Purpose-Built Infrastructure: Dedicated Ronin blockchain enables scalable, low-fee, and high-throughput game interactions.
• Community Loyalty: Axie’s fanbase remains among the most active and evangelizing globally in Web3 gaming, supporting organic recovery scenarios.

Volume & Liquidity

• Exchange Coverage: AXS is listed on top-tier exchanges (Binance, Coinbase, etc.), ensuring deep and persistent liquidity.
• Spot and Derivatives Trading: AXS maintains healthy volume with minimal spreads, evidence of market maker confidence even during pullbacks.
• Market Traction: Substantial trading activity at current levels confirms continued strategic engagement from both retail and institutional players.

Competitive Positioning

• Dominance: AXS ranks decisively in market cap among blockchain gaming projects, reinforcing its status as a sector reference.
• Defensive Moat: Proprietary chain, high IP recognition, and sticky user base make direct displacement by emerging competitors a tall order.

Positive Catalysts and Outlook

• Upcoming Protocol Upgrades: Both the Ronin sidechain and main game are set for updates boosting scalability and economic utility in the coming quarters.
• Game Launches & Integrations: Expansion with new titles leveraging the existing Axie IP is expected to bring user and NFT transaction growth.
• Macro Support: Ongoing global adoption of blockchain gaming, NFT as asset-class validation, and increasing regulatory clarity (especially in Asia and US jurisdictions) create favorable sentiment conditions.
• Institutional Flows: Continued presence of major backers ensures constant R&D and potential for high-impact announcements ahead.

Investment Positioning & Strategy

Short-Term Perspective (Q3–Q4 2025)

• Technical Rebound Play: Accumulating near structural supports ($2.20–$2.50) provides a favorable risk/reward structure for swing trades, especially ahead of resistance tests at $3.45.
• Catalyst Timing: Positioning before key protocol or game announcements could capture outsized volatility-driven opportunities.
• Momentum Signals: Technical confirmation on daily or weekly closes above resistance would validate fast upside moves.

Medium-Term Perspective (6–18 months)

• Cycle Rotation: As GameFi regains macro favor, AXS’s entrenched market leadership places it in prime position for sector beta upswings.
• Growth Pipeline: Layered ecosystem expansion and user regain are well underway post-restructuring, enabling tangible upside should user metrics inflect.
• Comparative Valuation: Relative to its historical highs and industry peers, AXS now trades at a material discount, augmenting its appeal for medium-horizon investors.

Long-Term Perspective (2026–2029+)

• Structural Asymmetry: For investors targeting secular trends in digital asset gaming, AXS offers a still-rare blend of infrastructure lock-in, community, and iterative innovation.
• Resilient Recurring Revenue: Diversified fee income through NFT marketplace and gameplay supports a durable business model across cycles.
• Innovation Optionality: Ongoing R&D and sustained institutional support might unlock new use cases and lucrative flywheels in the Web3 economy.
• Ideal Entry Tactics: Gradual accumulation at technically validated lows or strategic rotation prior to major ecosystem events positions portfolios for compounded sector recovery.

Axie Infinity Price Predictions

Is Now the Right Time to Consider Axie Infinity?

Axie Infinity stands at the intersection of depressed sentiment and emerging technical revival, backed by a maturing project structure and continued innovation in the play-and-earn arena. The project’s robust treasury, proven revenue model, sticky community, and renewed roadmap execution reinforce confidence that the fundamentals justify renewed interest at current levels—particularly as GameFi enters an expansionary phase and capital rotates back toward sector leaders with proven scalability.

Key strengths to weigh include:

• Historic leadership and pioneering role in Web3/NFT gaming
• Strong bounce potential from deeply oversold conditions, with technical signals aligning for a rebound
• Sustained treasury growth and operational discipline through restructuring
• Ongoing protocol upgrades and high-profile partnership momentum
• Resilient volume and liquidity, underpinned by consistent market maker engagement

Projection models now point to a plausible multi-year upcycle for AXS, buoyed by an attractive entry point relative to both its sector dominance and discounted valuation. The recent price consolidation above fundamental support, combined with visible positive catalysts on the horizon, suggests Axie Infinity could well be set for a new cyclical advance. As always, investors should weigh these opportunities against their risk appetite, but Axie Infinity’s fundamentals, innovation pipeline, and renewed sector tailwinds seem to represent an excellent opportunity at this stage. The technical levels to watch are $2.20 as immediate structural support and $3.45 as the next key resistance. The next major protocol upgrade, scheduled for Q2 2025, may well serve as a pivotal catalyst for Axie Infinity’s future performance.

How to buy Axie Infinity?

It’s simple and secure to buy Axie Infinity (AXS) cryptocurrency online through a regulated platform in the US. Investors can typically choose between two main methods: spot purchase (owning the actual AXS coins in a wallet) or trading using crypto CFDs (Contracts for Difference), which allows speculation on price movements without owning the digital asset itself. Each method offers distinct advantages tailored to different risk profiles and objectives. Further down on this page, you’ll find a detailed comparison of leading platforms to help you select the one that fits your needs best.

Spot Purchase

Buying Axie Infinity “on the spot” means you acquire and own real AXS tokens, which are stored in your personal crypto wallet (either on-exchange or transferred to a private wallet). Spot purchases are ideal for investors looking for long-term exposure to AXS and the ability to withdraw or use their coins. Typical fees for spot trading include a fixed commission per transaction, usually ranging from 0.2% to 1%, and are clearly stated in USD.

Example

If the current Axie Infinity price is $2.55 per AXS, with $1,000 to invest, you can purchase about 392 AXS tokens (after deducting an estimated $5 in transaction fees).

Potential gain scenario: If the AXS price rises by 10%, the value of your portfolio climbs to $1,100. Result: $100 gross gain, or +10% on your investment (excluding trading and withdrawal fees).

Trading via CFD

CFD (Contract for Difference) trading allows you to speculate on Axie Infinity’s price changes without actually owning the coin. With CFDs, you open a position on the AXS price—profiting from both rising and falling markets. Fees for CFDs generally include a bid/ask spread (the gap between buy and sell price) and possible overnight financing costs if you keep your position for more than a day.

Example

You open a $1,000 CFD position on AXS with 5x leverage, giving you $5,000 market exposure.

Potential gain scenario: If Axie Infinity climbs by 8%, your position yields a profit of 8% × 5 = 40%. Result: $400 gain on your $1,000 margin (before fees and interest).

Key Takeaways

Before investing, it’s essential to compare the fees, trading conditions, and security measures of each platform. Your ideal method—buying AXS or trading via CFDs—should match your investment goals, risk tolerance, and level of experience. For a side-by-side overview, refer to the platform comparison lower on this page.

Our 7 tips for buying Axie Infinity

The latest news on Axie Infinity

Axie Infinity has shown a notable $4 million treasury growth in 2024, signaling robust financial resilience. This performance, especially amid global market volatility, suggests that Sky Mavis, the parent company, is successfully optimizing operational costs and revenue streams, which include a 4.25% in-game transaction fee and additional NFT sales. Such a strengthening of cash reserves provides the project with strategic flexibility to continue development and marketing initiatives in key markets, including the US, where blockchain gaming receives increasing attention from both investors and regulators.

Axie Infinity maintains a position as an innovation leader in "Play-and-Earn" gaming, with ongoing development of new titles and expansion of the Ronin blockchain ecosystem. Ronin’s scalable blockchain solutions and a growing portfolio of games continue to attract both institutional investors such as Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) and Animoca Brands, as well as a vibrant US gaming and crypto community. These developments reinforce Axie Infinity’s relevance in the North American blockchain gaming landscape, ensuring continued user engagement and strategic partnerships.

Technical analysis shows a recent breakout from a falling wedge pattern with 44% upside, hinting at a recovery potential. Despite a 9-11% weekly price decline and bearish momentum over the past year, the RSI is stabilizing in the neutral-to-slightly-oversold range (30-46). Key support exists at $2.20, with an upside technical target of $3.25-$3.35, around 30% above the current price. For US traders familiar with technical setups, such signals, combined with strong institutional backing and infrastructure updates, mark Axie Infinity as a candidate for short-term rebounds.

Marketplace accessibility and regulatory clarity in the US strengthen Axie Infinity's position for American users and investors. AXS is actively listed and traded on major US-compliant exchanges such as Coinbase, offering transparent USD pairs and robust trading volumes ($27-$32 million/24h). Axie Infinity’s design as a governance and utility token meets prevailing crypto regulations, allowing US residents to participate in the ecosystem while staying compliant with tax and reporting rules.

Axie Infinity is supported by a highly engaged community and premium partnerships, fostering resilience in a challenging market. With a loyal international player base and ties to premier investors, Axie maintains visibility and access to resources for R&D or strategic pivots. For US stakeholders, these attributes signal both a commitment to operational robustness and a culture of innovation, positioning Axie Infinity among the more adaptive projects in the fast-evolving cross-border gaming and NFT landscape.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.