Should You Buy Ethereum in 2025?

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At HelloSafe, our expert has been monitoring the evolution of the Ethereum cryptocurrency for over three years. Each month, more than a million users in the United States trust us to analyze market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our insights are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. In accordance with our ethical charter, HelloSafe has never purchased Ethereum nor received compensation from any entities associated with its ecosystem.

Ethereum at a glance

How much does 1 Ethereum cost?

The price of Ethereum is rising this week. As of June 4, 2025, Ethereum trades at approximately $2,625, jumping 43.6% over the last seven days and up more than 40% in the past month.

Given its recent volatility and strong institutional inflows, Ethereum continues to attract significant attention from U.S. investors seeking both growth and exposure to the evolving digital asset landscape.

Our complete review of the cryptocurrency Ethereum

Have Ethereum’s recent price surges and relentless institutional inflows marked a decisive shift in the crypto landscape? Over the past three years, our deep-dive analysis—powered by proprietary algorithms and leveraging on-chain metrics, technical signals, market data and a full competitive scan—reveals sharp inflection points and underlying structural shifts. So, why might Ethereum reclaim in 2025 its status as the strategic entry point for the entire Web3 infrastructure stack?

Performance Overview and Market Context

Recent Price Evolution

Ethereum has entered June 2025 not just with regained momentum, but with outperformance across both retail and institutional segments. The current price stands at approximately $2,625, representing a 40% gain in the past month and an outstanding 80% rebound off the $1,400 lows observed just weeks ago. This explosive recovery is matched by a 43.6% weekly performance that has confidently crossed the $2,600 threshold—a move that outpaced broader crypto market indices, pointing to unique structural support for ETH’s trajectory.

Positive Catalysts in Recent Months

• ETF-Driven Demand: Ethereum ETFs, led by BlackRock (ETHA) and Fidelity (FETH), have recorded net positive flows for 11 consecutive sessions—including single-day highs of $78–109M—placing cumulative AUM at over $4.5B just from BlackRock.
• Protocol Upgrades: The May 2025 "Pectra" upgrade marked a watershed with staking limits raised (now 2,048 ETH per validator), improved UX via account abstraction, and the introduction of the Paymaster function.
• Network Health: Ether on centralized exchanges is at a 7-year low, dramatically compressing readily available supply even as demand surges.
• Macro Backdrop: Renewed global risk appetite, stabilization in major central bank rates, and a growing institutional embrace of digital assets—particularly in the DeFi, NFT, and tokenization verticals—provide a constructive backdrop.

Technical Analysis

Key Crypto Indicators

• RSI (14 days at 55–59): This neutral-to-bullish reading signals robust but unsaturated momentum, indicating ETH is neither overbought nor vulnerable to immediate corrections.
• MACD: A clear bullish crossover has just developed, historically a harbinger of multi-week upside moves.
• Moving Averages: 60%+ of trend-following averages now point bullish, with both the 50- and 200-day MAs acting as rising support—the $2,400–2,500 region is technically reinforced.
• Support/Resistance Levels: The $2,650–$2,700 band is the key short-term resistance; sustained closes above this could open technical targets at $4,000 or higher in the medium term.
• Bullish Structure: Sharp price expansion has been confirmed on strong relative volume and positive funding rates, suggesting well-supported position building rather than speculation.

Short/Mid-Term Market Structure

The current market environment is characterized by:

• Reduced selling pressure, as evidenced by historic lows in exchange balances.
• Consistent, above-average daily trading volume (~$16–17B), underscoring depth and the level of engagement by sophisticated market participants.
• Short-term pullbacks fuelling liquidity for strategic entries, with rapid recoveries indicating the presence of aggressive buyers.

Fundamental Analysis

Adoption & Ecosystem Growth

• DeFi & NFT Leadership: Ethereum remains the backbone for on-chain innovation, with TVL across protocols stabilizing and showing early signs of renewed growth post-upgrade.
• Partnerships: Ongoing collaboration with financial giants and deployers of Layer-2 scaling solutions is accelerating Ethereum’s role as a base-layer for institutional-grade products.
• Active Community and Developers: Over 400,000 active monthly devs and a thriving DAO ecosystem contribute to a self-reinforcing network effect.
• Market Position: ETH holds the #2 spot in global crypto market capitalization ($317–320B), with diversified exposure to staking, infra, and on-chain finance.
• Liquidity Metrics: OTC desks and major exchanges report persistent two-way flow, but net outflows signal large holders are choosing to self-custody.

Attractive Relative Valuation

• Market Cap / TVL: Ethereum’s market cap is well covered by real, on-chain activity; Fully Diluted Valuation remains at a reasonable premium to core assets in the sector, when adjusted for network effects and protocol fee accrual.
• Staking Yields: With the increased validator limit, yield-seeking capital has additional capacity—yet ETH staking rates remain competitive, providing investors both liquidity and passive return.

Structural Strengths

• Innovation Moat: The 2025 roadmap sharpens focus on scalability (rollups and sharding), while aiming for ease-of-use—"as simple as Bitcoin by 2030" is now a stated vision.
• Protocol Upgrade Momentum: Pectra and upcoming upgrades further differentiate ETH from competitors, both technologically and in terms of user adoption.
• Dominance: No other Layer-1 network combines similar breadth of use-cases, liquidity, and regulatory clarity.

Institutional Positioning

• ETF Flows: Record-setting ETF inflows underline a transition from speculative to strategic, long-term investors.
• Prime Brokerage Integration: Growing listing activity and structured crypto investment products are giving rise to new pools of demand.

Risk Landscape

While short-term technical resistance at $2,650 and staking centralization merit monitoring, regulatory clarity in the US and progressive global frameworks bolster ETH’s long-term viability.

Investment Approaches by Time Horizon

Short-Term Positioning

• Immediate Setup: On modest pullbacks toward the $2,500–2,550 support range, positioning for a breakout past $2,700 looks tactically compelling.
• Catalyst Play: With the Pectra upgrade just live and ETF inflows accelerating, ETH is likely benefitting from a post-upgrade "momentum window."

Medium-Term Perspective

• Summer/Fall 2025: Targets in the $3,000–$3,200 range by end of Q3 appear justified by recent improvements in both blockchain metrics and buy-side flows. Anticipation of further protocol upgrades could spark front-running behavior among allocators.
• Layer-2 Synergies: Rollup adoption for mass-market DeFi/NFTs is expected to unlock incremental value, as well as reduced gas fee headwinds.

Long-Term Outlook

• Multi-Year Trend: For strategic holders, Ethereum’s position as the ‘settlement layer’ for Web3 applications remains structurally intact. As DeFi, NFTs and RWAs (Real World Asset tokenization) gain mass adoption, ETH is set to accrue value from both transactional and protocol layers.
• Portfolio Core: ETH continues to look well-suited for a core digital asset allocation, supported by liquidity, security, and regulatory standing.
• Volatility: Periods of short-term volatility can provide compelling entry opportunities for patient, risk-aware investors.

Ethereum Price Projections

Is Now the Right Time to Consider Ethereum?

Ethereum’s unique combination of technical renaissance, surging institutional adoption and enduring innovation defines its current investment profile as both opportunistic and resilient. Key points supporting a positive thesis include:

• Powerful momentum: +80% rally from April lows, outperforming almost all alternative Layer-1s.
• Upgrade catalysts: The Pectra upgrade brings improved staking returns, infrastructure-level enhancements and usability that further separates Ethereum from the pack.
• Institutional confidence: Sustained ETF inflows (BlackRock & Fidelity) support structural demand and long-term positioning.
• Liquidity & network strength: Historic lows in exchange balances signal committed holders—while liquidity remains deep and reliable for sizable allocations.
• Attractive technical setup: Bullish indicators across RSI, MACD, moving averages and price structure point to a maturing uptrend.
• Product-market fit: DeFi, NFTs and emerging use-cases (RWA tokenization) continue to consolidate Ethereum’s foundational role in the Web3 stack.

In sum, Ethereum seems to present an excellent opportunity for investors seeking exposure to a dynamic, innovation-driven digital asset with robust risk/reward properties. Robust on-chain fundamentals, technical breakouts, and maturing ETF channels suggest ETH could well be at the dawn of a new bull phase in the digital asset cycle. While appropriate risk management remains essential given crypto’s inherent volatility, the convergence of catalysts and healthy market structure make Ethereum a digital asset that merits close attention and, potentially, a strategic place in forward-looking portfolios.

Key levels to watch remain $2,650 support and $2,700–$3,000 resistance. The next core network upgrade—anticipated in Q2 2026—could act as a further accelerant for Ethereum’s long-term value.

How to buy Ethereum?

It’s easy and secure to buy Ethereum (ETH) online using a regulated crypto platform in the US. As an investor, you’ll typically have two main methods to choose from: direct spot purchase (where you own the actual ETH in a wallet), or trading Ethereum via crypto CFDs (Contracts For Difference), which lets you speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset. Each method offers unique benefits and risks, so it’s important to understand how they work. Read on for a detailed breakdown of both options—and find our comparative guide to top platforms further down this page.

Spot Purchase (Direct ETH Ownership)

Spot buying Ethereum means you’re purchasing real ETH tokens, which are then stored in your personal crypto wallet (either on the platform or in a private wallet). This method gives you direct ownership of the cryptocurrency, allowing you to hold, transfer, or use your ETH as you see fit.

• Typical fees: Exchanges usually charge a fixed transaction fee, often between $2 and $10 per trade, sometimes proportionate to trade size (e.g., 0.2%–1%).

Example

If ETH is trading at $2,625 and you invest $1,000, you'll buy about 0.38 ETH ($1,000 ÷ $2,625 ≈ 0.38), after accounting for around $5 in transaction fees.

If the price of ETH rises by 10%, your assets would be worth $1,100.
Result: $100 gross gain, equivalent to +10% growth on your investment.

Trading Ethereum via CFD

CFDs (Contracts For Difference) let you trade Ethereum’s price movements without owning the actual coins. Instead, you open a position reflecting where you think the price will go, often with leverage to amplify your exposure.

• Typical fees: Usually a “spread” (the difference between buy and sell prices), plus overnight financing fees if you hold your position for more than one day.

Example

With $1,000 and 5x leverage, you control $5,000 worth of Ethereum. If ETH climbs 8%:

Your CFD position gains 8% × 5 = 40%.
Result: $400 profit on your $1,000 stake (excluding fees).

Note: Losses can also be amplified, and positions left open overnight may incur additional charges.

Final Advice

Before investing, always compare the fees, limits, and conditions of different platforms to find the one that best fits your needs and trading style. Choosing between spot purchases and CFD trading depends on your investment goals, risk appetite, and experience level. For a practical comparison of leading US platforms, see our detailed guide further below.

Our 7 tips for buying Ethereum

The latest news about Ethereum

Ethereum ETFs in the US have seen unprecedented net inflows for 11 consecutive days, with BlackRock and Fidelity leading the charge. This surge, totaling $78–109 million over the past week, marks the most robust period of institutional adoption in Ethereum’s history, with BlackRock’s ETHA ETF now overseeing more than $4.5 billion in assets and Fidelity’s FETH continuing its streak of steady net inflows. The availability and rapid uptake of spot Ethereum ETFs on major US exchanges significantly enhance ETH’s legitimacy as an investable asset for American institutional and retail portfolios, promoting further alignment of Ethereum with traditional capital markets.

Driven by these institutional flows and robust market sentiment, Ethereum’s price has soared over 43% in the last week, rebounding 80% from April lows. Currently trading near $2,625, ETH has sharply outperformed many peers, bolstered by strong US-based exchange volumes (over $16 billion daily) and accelerated inflows into American ETF vehicles. Technical indicators are constructive, with a neutral-to-bullish RSI (55–59) and over 60% of moving averages showing upward momentum, suggesting persistent demand and a supportive backdrop for further appreciation.

The recent Pectra upgrade, activated on May 7, has enhanced staking appeal and user experience, directly benefiting US participants in both retail and institutional segments. The new staking threshold of 2,048 ETH, improved account abstraction, and Paymaster functionality streamline staking operations and payment processes. These technical enhancements address long-standing friction points and are already fueling increased staking activity among US-based platforms and institutional providers—ensuring Ethereum remains competitive and scalable as demand grows within the American ecosystem.

Ethereum’s circulating supply on exchanges has hit a seven-year low, amplifying positive price dynamics as US demand swells. With just over 120.7 million ETH in circulation and more coins being locked into staking contracts, sell-side liquidity on US exchanges has tightened significantly. This scarcity effect, alongside escalating institutional allocation via ETFs, creates favorable supply-demand conditions for US investors and may continue to underpin price strength as both institutional and retail buyers compete for a shrinking available float.

Vitalik Buterin’s public roadmap for 2025, emphasizing massive scalability gains and further simplification, continues to reassure US stakeholders of Ethereum’s long-term viability. The core objective of achieving a 10x increase in chain performance combined with user experience upgrades—aiming to make Ethereum as accessible as Bitcoin by 2030—resonates with American investors focused on sustainability and innovation. These directional commitments, coming alongside technical milestones and surging institutional adoption in the US, lend further confidence to Ethereum’s constructive outlook among professional analysts and financial decision-makers in the American market.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.