Should You Buy The Graph in 2025?

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At HelloSafe, our expert has been monitoring the evolution of The Graph cryptocurrency for over three years. Every month, well over a million users in the United States trust us to analyze market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. In line with our ethical guidelines, HelloSafe has never purchased The Graph nor received compensation from any entities associated with its ecosystem.

The Graph in brief

How much does 1 The Graph cost?

The price of The Graph is down this week. As of June 4, 2025, GRT trades at $0.0964 with a 24-hour decrease of 0.68% and a weekly drop of 15%.

The token holds a market capitalization between $940 and $970 million, with an average daily trading volume of about $35 million over the past three months.

Ranked near #60 by market cap, The Graph has approximately 10 billion GRT in circulation, representing a 0.03% share of the global crypto market.

With recent volatility and oversold technical signals, GRT presents both caution and potential opportunity for US investors.

Our complete opinion on the cryptocurrency The Graph

After rigorously analyzing the latest on-chain trends, technical signals, market data, and the competitive landscape surrounding The Graph over the past three years, our proprietary algorithms have surfaced significant insights for the GRT token. Synthesizing momentum indicators, adoption metrics, and evolving sector dynamics, we observe converging catalysts favoring select blockchain infrastructure assets. So, why could The Graph reemerge in 2025 as a strategic entry point within the Web3 data ecosystem, and what factors point toward a potential structural uptrend for GRT?

Performance and Recent Market Context

Price Action and Market Environment

The Graph (GRT) has experienced a pronounced correction in 2025, currently trading at $0.0964 after a -15% weekly pullback from recent highs near $0.11. Despite this short-term volatility, GRT's price has displayed resilience within a broader range, with a 6-month low at $0.0667 and previous highs approaching $0.4919. The year-long price spread ($0.0670 – $0.3466) underscores the asset’s volatility but also highlights substantial upside capture during bullish phases.

Key drivers of this retracement include short-term profit taking after attempts at resistance zones and a temporary risk-off sentiment across the altcoin market. Still, GRT benefits from robust underlying liquidity, evidenced by daily volumes consistently between $32–38 million, with a market cap hovering just below $1 billion.

Recent market moves have been shaped by macro trends: the US Federal Reserve’s tempered rate hikes in Q2 2025, a resurgence in DeFi TVL, and rekindling risk appetite among US institutional desks. Decentralized infrastructure tokens like The Graph, which serve as core data rails for Layer-1 and Layer-2 chains, are increasingly seen as mission-critical for the next crypto growth cycle.

Positive Recent Events

• Leadership Transition: Rodrigo Coelho’s appointment as CEO at Edge & Node, The Graph’s development house, has signaled operational continuity and strategic focus.
• Protocol Upgrades: Launch of the GRC-20 standard for unified Web3 data, and seamless interoperability through Chainlink’s cross-chain integration, have unlocked new use-cases—especially for DeFi, NFTs, and gaming dApps.
• Key Partnerships: Integration with Chiliz Chain positions GRT at the nexus of sports, entertainment, and fan-token data infrastructure.

These elements, coupled with a broadened set of supported blockchains, are multiplying GRT’s touchpoints within the evolving Web3 landscape.

Macro & Sector Tailwinds

• Renewed VC flows are driving developer activity on Web3 protocols.
• Rising on-chain application activity (notably in DeFi, SocialFi, and RWAs) is boosting indexing demand—The Graph's core use-case.
• Regulatory clarity around utility tokens in major jurisdictions (notably US/Europe) is reducing systemic risks for foundational infrastructure projects.

Technical Analysis

Key Indicators

• RSI (14D): At 35.13, GRT is nearing oversold territory, suggesting diminished selling pressure and potential for a reversal.
• MACD: Mixed readings, but mounting bullish divergences on higher time frames and flattening bearish momentum hint that a bottoming process is underway.
• Moving Averages: 92.86% of daily MAs remain bullish, reinforcing underlying trend strength even as the price consolidates near cycle lows.

Support, Resistance & Structure

• Immediate Support: $0.0938—recent swing low and a level at which significant accumulation is observable on-chain.
• Major Resistance: $0.1465—breakout above this level may signal a structural shift towards higher ranges and spark trend-following inflows.
• Momentum Outlook: While volatility persists, the structure appears to favor medium-term buyers, with bullish crossovers likely to develop should network metrics strengthen.

Fundamental Analysis

Adoption, Ecosystem & Partnerships

• Unrivaled Market Share: The Graph secures leading market share in decentralized blockchain data indexing, handling data for Ethereum, Polygon, BNB Chain, Avalanche, and new EVM-compatible chains.
• Recent Integrations: The GRC-20 standard and Chainlink bridge integrations have cemented its role as the “Google of blockchains”.
• Real-World Traction: Ongoing expansion in DeFi, NFT, and SocialFi verticals, illustrated by rising query volume and onboarding of blue-chip dApps.
• Community and Governance: An active, globally distributed community, plus a strong DAO process under The Graph Foundation, drive iterative upgrades and decentralized governance.

Relative Valuation

• Market Cap/Fully Diluted Valuation: With a FDV under $1.1B and a circulating market cap below $1B, GRT trades at a fraction of the valuations of comparable L1 data infrastructure projects, while presenting outsized network effects.
• No Centralized Competition with Decentralization Guarantees: GRT addresses a genuinely decentralized need, fighting centralized alternatives with a solution that aligns with long-term Web3 ethos—high-quality market positioning.

Liquidity and Positioning

• Volume: Continuous high daily turnover ($32–38M), with strong CEX/DEX blend, signifies lasting investor engagement and tradeability.
• Market Ranking: Top-50 crypto by market capitalization and dominant in the decentralized data niche.

Catalysts & Positive Outlook

• Upcoming Protocol Milestones: Additional multi-chain support, next-gen subgraph tooling, anticipated AI feature rollouts for advanced on-chain analytics in H2 2025.
• Ecosystem Growth: Both DeFi and NFT subsectors depend increasingly on reliable indexing; The Graph is deeply embedded as mission-critical middleware.
• Regulatory Environment: Positive developments for utility-token classification in the US and Europe, with the sector viewed as essential (rather than speculative) for the crypto economy.
• Institutional Interest: Notable funds and crypto VCs continue to stake and participate, further validating GRT’s foundational nature.

Summary Bullets of Bullish Catalysts:

• Ongoing protocol upgrades and AI integration roadmap
• New partnerships bringing real-world/enterprise use-cases
• Persistent high trading liquidity on major exchanges
• Positive regulatory momentum improving sector risk/reward

Investment Strategies by Horizon

Short-Term (<6 months)

• With GRT testing oversold support levels, tactical entries on local weakness (“buying the dip”) appear attractive for risk-managed swing trades.
• Price recovery to the $0.13–$0.15 zone could play out quickly with improved sentiment or successful protocol upgrades.

Medium-Term (6–18 months)

• As protocol and ecosystem upgrades deploy (multi-chain, AI analytics), GRT may move into new trading ranges, presenting trending opportunities.
• Favor accumulation on pullbacks into support, or ahead of anticipated network adoption events.

Long-Term (>18 months)

• For conviction holders, GRT is one of the purest plays on Web3 data infrastructure: value accrues as the network secures deeper integration with next-gen dApps and becomes even more central to the on-chain economy.
• Compelling risk/reward for those positioning ahead of anticipated institutional and enterprise onboarding.

Ideal Entry Points

Technical pullbacks toward strong support ($0.09–$0.10), before major protocol milestones, or in anticipation of improvements in macro sentiment.

Risk Management

As with all high-volatility tokens, prudent position sizing and dynamic risk controls remain vital.

Price Predictions for The Graph (GRT)

Is Now the Right Time to Consider The Graph?

Rising demand for Web3 data, the explosive proliferation of on-chain applications, and The Graph’s accelerating integration efforts all point toward a renewed phase of structural growth. Technical and fundamental factors now converge to make GRT stand out: attractive entry levels, oversold signals, best-in-class protocol upgrades, and real-world ecosystem traction. These elements combine to support the view that—while volatility will remain—The Graph represents an excellent opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the essential infrastructure underpinning the next phase of blockchain adoption.

The Graph is a high-volatility digital asset offering dynamic investment opportunities, but it requires disciplined risk management. The recent price acceleration showcases The Graph's capacity for swift, powerful moves, while the evolving macro backdrop argues for selectivity. Key technical levels to watch are $0.0938 as immediate support and $0.1465 as the next major resistance. The upcoming AI-driven protocol enhancement, expected in H2 2025, could prove a decisive catalyst for The Graph’s future valuation.

How to buy The Graph?

It’s simple and secure to purchase The Graph (GRT) cryptocurrency online using a regulated crypto platform. There are two main ways to get exposure: directly buying GRT at the spot price (so you truly own the coins), or trading GRT via “crypto CFDs”—a financial product that lets you speculate on price movements without owning the actual token. Each method has its advantages and costs. For a detailed comparison to help you choose the right platform, see our overview further down this page.

Spot Purchase

Spot buying The Graph means you purchase the actual GRT tokens, which are then stored in your own crypto wallet (on the exchange or transferred to private storage). Typical fees for spot buying include a fixed commission per trade, usually ranging from $1 to $5, depending on the platform.

Example

Suppose the current price of GRT is $0.0964. With a $1,000 investment, you could buy about 10,370 GRT coins (minus a ~$5 transaction fee).

• Potential profit scenario:
• If GRT rises by 10%, your holdings would be worth approximately $1,100.
• Result: $100 gross gain or +10% on your original investment.

Trading via CFD

CFD (Contract for Difference) trading allows you to speculate on GRT prices without directly owning any tokens. Instead, you’re entering a contract with the broker to exchange the price difference of GRT between opening and closing your trade. Fees typically include a spread (the difference between buy/sell price) and an “overnight funding” charge if you keep the position open over several days.

Example

With $1,000 and a leverage of 5x, you gain exposure equivalent to $5,000 worth of GRT.

• Potential profit scenario:
• If The Graph’s price increases by 8%, your position delivers a 40% return (8% movement × 5 leverage).
• Result: $400 gain on a $1,000 margin (excluding fees).

Key Advice Before You Invest

Always compare the fees and trading conditions on various platforms before committing your funds—costs and user protections can vary widely. Whether you choose direct purchase for long-term holding or CFD trading for leveraged speculation, the best option depends on your financial goals and experience with crypto. Find our platform comparison below to help you make an informed choice.

Our 7 tips for buying The Graph

The latest news from The Graph

Despite a 15% weekly decline, GRT shows oversold conditions and strong bullish moving average signals. The Graph (GRT) token experienced a notable price retreat over the past week, falling from $0.11 to approximately $0.0964, representing a 15% decrease. However, from a technical perspective, its 14-day RSI has dropped to 35.13, signifying that the token is nearing oversold territory—a classic indicator suggesting potential upward price correction. Furthermore, analysis of daily moving averages reveals that over 92% of signals are bullish, creating optimism among technical analysts for a possible rebound. This combination of negative short-term price momentum with oversold technicals and positive moving averages positions GRT as a candidate for reversal, which could be particularly relevant to US-based traders seeking tactical entry points in the context of broader volatility across crypto markets.

Institutional-grade US access to GRT remains robust through Coinbase, Kraken, and Binance US trading pairs. The Graph's token is readily available on key US-regulated cryptocurrency exchanges, most notably Coinbase and Kraken, both of which offer direct USD trading pairs. This ensures high accessibility and liquidity specifically for American retail and institutional investors. The consistently strong daily trading volumes ($32–38 million) and transparent regulatory status as a utility token further facilitate compliant participation by US entities. This broad exposure within the US market underscores The Graph’s established presence in the region and strengthens its position as a foundational Web3 infrastructure asset for American stakeholders.

Recent integration with Chainlink’s interoperability standard advances cross-chain capabilities for US Web3 development. A major technical catalyst over the last week is The Graph’s integration with Chainlink’s interoperability framework, enabling seamless cross-chain token and data transfers for decentralized applications. For the rapidly growing US Web3 sector—where interoperability is a primary focus for both startups and established technology firms—this collaboration significantly enhances The Graph's value proposition. The impact includes improved data portability for American developers and businesses, facilitating a wider range of blockchain-enabled services built atop US-regulated platforms and major Layer-1 blockchains.

US-facing developer adoption is accelerating due to expanded support for DeFi apps and standardization initiatives. The Graph’s continuing protocol upgrades—including the launch of the GRC-20 standard to streamline and unify indexed blockchain data—are driving increased adoption across DeFi and Web3 platforms, many of which are headquartered or operate significant operations within the US. Heightened integration with sports and entertainment decentralized apps, plus partnerships that facilitate access to new blockchain networks, are supporting a surge in query volumes and developer engagement stateside. This trend reinforces The Graph’s strategic importance as a “data backbone” for next-generation US-based blockchain applications.

Leadership stability following Rodrigo Coelho’s appointment as CEO of Edge & Node reinforces confidence in US institutional circles. Effective leadership transitions remain a key factor for investor and developer confidence, particularly for US-based institutions assessing long-term project viability. The recent elevation of Rodrigo Coelho—one of The Graph's earliest hires—to CEO of core developer Edge & Node is generally viewed positively by market participants. His appointment assures continuity and preserves critical institutional knowledge, which is essential for ongoing protocol development and maintaining partnerships in the United States’ competitive, innovation-driven environment. This leadership continuity is being interpreted as constructive by both financial analysts and enterprise technology partners.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.