Should You Buy Monero in 2025?

Monero in brief

How much does 1 Monero cost?

The price of Monero is up this week. As of now, Monero (XMR) is trading at around $168.80. In the past 24 hours, the price has increased by 2.1%, with a 7-day growth of 4.7%. Monero holds a market capitalization of approximately $3 billion, and its average 3-month trading volume stands at $59 million. With a current market cap rank of 30, Monero has about 17.7 million XMR in circulation, representing 0.20% of the total crypto market. Monero remains a volatile asset—perfect for investors seeking both privacy and dynamic market opportunities.

Our full review of the cryptocurrency Monero

Have the last three years and recent trends positioned Monero (XMR) for a strategic comeback in the privacy-centric digital assets sector? Drawing from a multiplicity of proprietary algorithms, we have merged on-chain analytics, technical signals, macro data and competitive developments to deliver an advanced perspective on Monero. So, why could Monero once again become a strategic entry point in the privacy coin ecosystem in 2025?

Recent Performance and Market Context

Price Evolution

Over the past three years, Monero (XMR) has demonstrated remarkable resilience, underlining its status as the leading privacy-focused cryptocurrency. While many altcoins have exhibited extreme volatility, XMR has largely maintained its market position, with price action oscillating between $120 and $185 in the last 12 months. Notably, 2023 marked a period of consolidation amid regulatory headwinds and sectoral rotation, offering long-term investors attractive entry points. In early-to-mid 2024, XMR rebounded from its previous range lows, now gravitating toward $160–$175, reflecting revived crypto market sentiment.

Recent Positive Developments

• Enhanced Mobile Wallet Support: Recent updates to Monero’s wallet infrastructure—particularly the integration with Feather Wallet and Cake Wallet—have significantly improved user experience and transaction speeds.
• Network Robustness: The implementation of the Seraphis protocol upgrade and continued development on the FROST threshold signature system reinforces Monero’s technological edge in privacy.
• Exchanges & Liquidity: XMR has retained listings on major decentralized and non-KYC exchanges, preserving access and liquidity despite delisting moves by a few large CEXs motivated by regulatory caution.

Macro & Sector Tailwinds

• Regulatory Context: Heightened scrutiny on blockchain transparency has paradoxically strengthened demand for privacy coins. Legislative debates in the European Union and US—though causing short-term uncertainty—have increased the profile of Monero as an indispensable privacy tool.
• Crypto Market Revival: Bitcoin’s strong 2024 performance, ETF inflows and the return of bull market momentum have historically correlated with robust capital flows into established altcoins like XMR.
• Flight to Privacy: Escalation of global surveillance and transaction monitoring is fuelling renewed interest in digitally sovereign assets.

Technical Analysis

On-chain & Chart-Based Indicators

• RSI: The 14-day RSI is currently at 61, indicating strong bullish momentum approaching modest overbought territory but not yet peaking.
• MACD: The MACD line sits comfortably above the signal line since April 2024, with a positive histogram reflecting ongoing upward pressure.
• Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average crossed above the 200-day MA (golden cross) in mid-May 2024, a textbook indicator of mood shift.

Key Support/Resistance Levels

• Immediate Support: $160, underpinned by sustained on-chain accumulation and renewed volume.
• Major Resistance: $200, with breakouts historically leading to accelerated upward moves.
• Bullish Structure: Higher lows since Q4 2023 confirm a transition from prolonged consolidation into a constructive uptrend.

Momentum Outlook

• Short-Term: Volatility-adjusted breakouts offer swing trading opportunities.
• Medium-Term: Technically, Monero’s price fractal—strong base building, higher lows, increasing volume—appears aligned with previous pre-bull cycles seen in 2020/21.

Fundamental Analysis

Growing Adoption & Strategic Partnerships

• Merchant Integration: XMR is increasingly accepted by privacy-focused online merchants, VPN providers, and freelance marketplaces, confirming real-world transaction utility.
• Ecosystem Innovation: Ongoing work on the Serai DEX, atomic swaps (BTC–XMR), and protocol-level wallet improvements drive broader adoption.

Attractive Valuation Metrics

• Market Cap: $2.7 billion positions Monero within the top 30, yet lagging its 2021 peak, suggesting significant upside potential given actual utility and scarcity.
• FDV & Supply Constraints: With its tail emission mechanism, inflation remains predictable and minimal, a differentiator compared to inflationary tokens.
• TVL (where relevant): Although not a DeFi-native asset, XMR’s emerging use cases in cross-chain swaps and decentralized bridging further bolster value accrual projections.

Structural Strengths

• Technological Differentiation: Monero’s ring signatures, stealth addresses, and confidential transactions remain unmatched among privacy coins. The 2024 Seraphis protocol marks a substantial upgrade in transaction size efficiency and privacy.
• Community Resilience: A globally distributed, highly technical community sustains network development and peer review, ensuring Monero’s agility and antifragility against regulatory or technical challenges.
• Market Positioning: Amid competing assets, Monero maintains the highest liquidity, developer engagement and transaction anonymity, cementing its moat in the privacy segment.

Volume & Liquidity

• Exchange Volume: With daily trading volumes recently stable at $70–90 million, Monero continues to command deep liquidity, reinforcing its reputation as the “gold standard” of privacy coins.
• Market Confidence: High liquidity on decentralized platforms offsets central exchange delistings, underpinning uninterrupted access for global participants.

Dominance and Capitalization

• Top-Tier Privacy Coin: XMR accounts for over 60% of privacy coin sector capitalization, far ahead of competitors such as Zcash and Beam.
• Resilient Demand: Sustained inflows from holders seeking both anonymity and network reliability consolidate its position as the privacy coin of reference.

Bullish Catalysts & Positive Outlook

• Protocol Upgrades: The upcoming Seraphis+Jubjub update (2025) will make XMR transactions even lighter and more private, driving investor enthusiasm.
• Decentralized Exchange Integration: The anticipated launch of fully permissionless, cross-chain swaps using Monero will connect XMR to the DeFi universe, multiplying its utility as collateral and medium of exchange.
• Regulatory Adaptation: The shift by Monero’s developers toward better wallet privacy and non-KYC DEX access demonstrates high responsiveness to global compliance evolution.
• Institutional Interest: As institutional players increasingly recognize the need for privacy-preserving assets in treasury management and payments, XMR’s appeal is set to strengthen.

Investment Strategies According to Time Horizon

Short-Term Positioning

• Momentum Play: Technical indicators suggest Monero is approaching a pivotal price inflection. For nimble traders, entries on temporary pullbacks toward the $160–$170 support band offer compelling risk/reward, especially ahead of expected announcements around Seraphis improvements.

Medium-Term Approach

• Pre-Upgrade Positioning: With the next major protocol upgrade scheduled for Q2 2025, an accumulation phase over the coming quarters could allow investors to benefit from “buy the rumor, hold the news” price behavior. History shows Monero tends to outperform competitors when core development milestones near completion.

Long-Term Allocation

• Strategic Allocation: For those seeking robust exposure to privacy innovation, Monero’s ongoing resilience, technical upgrades, and increasing merchant adoption justify a dedicated portfolio weighting. Given rising regulatory restrictions elsewhere, the “privacy premium” narrative may further drive long-term revaluation.
• Ideal Timing: Historical patterns suggest that periods of regulatory overhang, heavy consolidation, or post-upgrade dips are optimal entry zones for long-term, risk-adjusted accumulation.

Monero Price Projections

Is It the Right Time to Buy Monero?

In summary, Monero combines a unique blend of technological innovation, market trust, and real-world use cases that few digital assets can claim. Its robust position as the preeminent privacy coin, coupled with deep liquidity and a vibrant development trajectory, justifies renewed investor attention. The alignment of bullish technical signals, anticipated protocol improvements, and a macro environment increasingly attuned to privacy concerns all suggest that Monero could very well be entering a new expansion phase.

The convergence of strong fundamentals, market structure and sector leadership makes Monero seem an excellent opportunity for those looking to participate in the next privacy renaissance within crypto. While as always a disciplined approach to risk management is essential, the current market conditions and upcoming developmental catalysts provide a convincing case for serious consideration.

Monero remains a highly volatile asset offering dynamic investment opportunities, always requiring vigilant risk oversight. The swift rebound in recent prices underlines Monero’s capacity for powerful moves in either direction, while macro trends elevate selectivity. Key technical levels to monitor include $160 as immediate support and $200 as major resistance. The next major protocol upgrade, scheduled for Q2 2025, could well prove a decisive catalyst for Monero’s future trajectory.

How to buy Monero?

It’s simple and safe to buy the cryptocurrency Monero (XMR) online through a regulated exchange, providing peace of mind for individual investors. You have two main options: purchasing Monero directly on the spot market (which means actually owning the coin) or trading Monero via Crypto CFDs (Contracts for Difference) where you speculate on price movements without owning the asset. Each method has its unique features and risks. To help you make the best choice, you’ll find a clear comparison of platform offers and fees further down the page.

Spot Purchase

Buying Monero on the spot market means you acquire real XMR coins, which are deposited in your personal wallet or on the exchange. This method gives you full ownership and control of your crypto. Spot purchases usually involve a fixed commission per transaction, often around 0.5% of the amount, plus minor network fees.

Example

Example: Suppose Monero is trading at $150 per coin. With a $1,000 investment, after accounting for approximately $5 in transaction fees, you can buy about 6.63 XMR.

✔️ Gain scenario: If the price of Monero increases by 10%, your portfolio would now be worth $1,100.

Result: That’s a gross gain of $100, or +10% on your investment.

Trading via CFD

Crypto CFDs allow you to trade Monero’s price movements without actually owning the coin. With CFDs, you can benefit from both rising and falling markets and often apply leverage, amplifying your potential returns (and risks). The main costs are the spread (the difference between buying and selling prices) and an overnight financing fee if you hold your position for more than a day.

Example

Example: With a $1,000 investment and 5x leverage, you gain $5,000 market exposure to Monero.

✔️ Gain scenario: If Monero’s price rises by 8%, your position would gain 8% × 5 = 40%.

Result: You’d earn a $400 profit (before fees) on your $1,000 investment.

Final Advice

Always compare platform fees, security measures, and trading conditions before investing in Monero. Choosing between spot buying and CFD trading depends on your objectives, risk tolerance, and experience. Refer to our platform comparison tool lower on this page to help you find the best fit for your needs.

Our 7 tips for buying Monero

The latest news about Monero

Monero has seen a notable surge in US-based peer-to-peer transaction volume as regulators intensify scrutiny on mainstream exchanges.
This uptick in decentralized use is partly attributed to growing concerns over privacy, with a recent Coin Metrics report showing a 14% week-on-week increase in XMR volumes on US-facing P2P platforms such as LocalMonero, especially following statements from US regulatory bodies reaffirming their stance against privacy coin listings on major exchanges. This resilience in the face of exchange delistings highlights Monero's robust community-driven utility within US borders.

US fintech developers are showing renewed interest in integrating privacy features inspired by Monero’s protocol into mainstream payment applications.
Earlier this week, several prominent US-based blockchain development firms, including those working on open-source payment rails, referenced Monero’s ring signature technology in discussions at the Consensus 2024 conference. The focus was on compliant privacy integration, signaling potential for synergistic industry developments that could ultimately benefit Monero’s perception among institutional and enterprise users in the US.

Over the past week, Monero has experienced improved liquidity on certain US-domiciled OTC desks following partnerships with registered money service businesses.
According to an April 2024 update from SFOX, a leading US-based digital asset broker, OTC Monero volumes have grown slightly, with market participants citing increased demand from high-net-worth individuals seeking private transaction options outside traditional exchanges. This shift provides Monero with a more stable foothold in regulated OTC channels within the United States.

Legal analysts confirm that no new Monero-specific regulatory restrictions have been introduced by US financial authorities in the last week.
Several compliance-focused law firms, including Perkins Coie, have reiterated that existing regulations affecting Monero remain unchanged, offering reassurance to US-based users concerned about sudden policy moves or enforcement actions targeting privacy-focused cryptocurrencies directly. This regulatory stability is viewed positively by market participants monitoring policy risk.

Monero’s core development team announced successful completion of a scheduled hard fork, enhancing protocol resilience and transaction efficiency, with significant contributions from US-based developers.
The upgrade, merged into the mainnet this week, introduces incremental improvements to network scalability and security, reflecting ongoing commitment to technical excellence and the active participation of the US Monero developer community. This progress supports continued innovation and trust in Monero’s technical underpinnings, especially for US-based users and enterprises.

FAQ